Beyond Open Rates: Using Predictive Reputation to Preempt Deliverability Issues
Why reactive monitoring is dead, and how proactive trend analysis saves your IP reputation.
Andreas Hatlem
Author
I’ve seen it happen dozens of times: a sender feels like they’re doing everything right, and then suddenly, their open rates crater. They check their stats and realize they’ve been blacklisted. The problem? They were using reactive monitoring. By the time they saw the problem, the damage was done.
When we designed GetMailer’s reputation system, we decided that "fixing broken things" wasn't good enough. We wanted to build something that could prevent the break in the first place.
Moving from Reactive to Proactive
Most platforms tell you what happened yesterday. We wanted to tell you what’s likely to happen next week. We track the usual metrics—bounces, complaints, and spam traps—but we don’t just look at the raw numbers. We look at the velocity.
We use linear regression to analyze your last 30 days of sending. We’re looking for the slope of the line. If your complaint rate is creeping up by 0.01% every day, we don't wait for you to hit the 0.1% "danger zone." Our system flags it as a "WATCH" or "WARNING" while you still have time to pivot.
The "Circuit Breaker" We Built
One of the features I'm most proud of is our automated volume adjustment. We built a circuit breaker into the platform. If we predict you’re going to breach a threshold, we don't just send you an email; we can actually throttle your sending volume automatically. It’s like a safety net for your IP reputation.
If we see your reputation score dipping below 80, we’ll automatically scale back marketing broadcasts to protect your core transactional emails. It gives you a chance to pause, clean your list, and resume without burning your domain's credibility.
Why We Do This
We believe deliverability is your most valuable asset. You wouldn't run a server without monitoring the CPU, and we don't think you should run an email list without predicting your reputation. It’s about giving you the peace of mind that your infrastructure is looking out for you.
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